Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 0.000225 0.000252 0.000280 0.000313 0.000349 0.000389 0.000435
2025-01-26 0.000186 0.000221 0.000262 0.000312 0.000371 0.000440 0.000525
2025-02-02 0.000166 0.000209 0.000261 0.000328 0.000412 0.000515 0.000650
2025-02-09 0.000146 0.000193 0.000253 0.000334 0.000441 0.000578 0.000766
2025-02-16 0.000130 0.000180 0.000245 0.000338 0.000466 0.000638 0.000885
2025-02-23 0.000115 0.000166 0.000235 0.000338 0.000485 0.000690 0.000997
2025-03-02 0.000102 0.000152 0.000223 0.000332 0.000494 0.000729 0.001094
2025-03-09 0.000092 0.000141 0.000214 0.000330 0.000509 0.000776 0.001206
2025-03-16 0.000083 0.000133 0.000208 0.000330 0.000526 0.000827 0.001328
2025-03-23 0.000077 0.000126 0.000203 0.000332 0.000544 0.000881 0.001459
2025-03-30 0.000070 0.000118 0.000196 0.000330 0.000556 0.000926 0.001579
2025-04-06 0.000065 0.000113 0.000191 0.000331 0.000573 0.000980 0.001718
2025-04-13 0.000060 0.000108 0.000188 0.000334 0.000594 0.001044 0.001885
2025-04-20 0.000055 0.000101 0.000180 0.000329 0.000604 0.001089 0.002023
2025-04-27 0.000053 0.000100 0.000183 0.000344 0.000648 0.001201 0.002293
2025-05-04 0.000050 0.000096 0.000182 0.000349 0.000675 0.001283 0.002517
2025-05-11 0.000047 0.000093 0.000179 0.000353 0.000700 0.001363 0.002743
2025-05-18 0.000044 0.000088 0.000174 0.000352 0.000715 0.001427 0.002944
2025-05-25 0.000040 0.000083 0.000167 0.000346 0.000719 0.001467 0.003102
2025-06-01 0.000037 0.000079 0.000163 0.000344 0.000731 0.001526 0.003303
2025-06-08 0.000035 0.000076 0.000159 0.000344 0.000748 0.001596 0.003533
2025-06-15 0.000033 0.000073 0.000157 0.000346 0.000768 0.001672 0.003787
2025-06-22 0.000031 0.000070 0.000152 0.000344 0.000779 0.001732 0.004007